AILEVON PACIFIC Aviation Consulting-Weekly Airline Schedule Update – August 28th 2023
Themes of the Week
- United reduced China capacity significantly through December
- OGG capacity cuts continued this week with Southwest reducing capacity
- Delta upgauged regional markets in MSP and SLC
- Frontier extended their schedule
- Red Way is going away
- Porter is saying bonjour to Florida
Multiple Property Study and Why Airlines Love Them!
Ailevon Pacific creates customized Multiple Property Studies that help unlock hidden air service demand. With the use of United States County Property Assessor data that is cleaned and compiled by a third party data vendor, we can show you where residents of your catchment area own a second, third or fourth home in the U.S. AND where people reside throughout the U.S. that own a second, third or fourth home in your catchment area. This is a significant driver of air service demand and is a compelling data point, not easily accessible to airlines, to add new or additional service between your airport and other cities.
This data has proven extremely valuable for airlines like Allegiant, whose core customers are those with multiple homes and who value convenience in air service.
“Most are those that own second, some of them third homes that fly us out of CVG, GRR, etc., many legacy markets for network carriers that upon consolidation left those areas as hubs. They (65+) fly us because we’re taking them non-stop, and they actually have quite a bit of discretionary time and income.” Scott Sheldon EVP and COO Allegiant from Q2 2022 Earnings Call
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Capacity Update
To see a detailed list of U.S. domestic and international capacity changes by airline, please click here.
Alaska reduced capacity in January and February 6% and 4% respectively.
American reduced capacity in November and December 3% and 6% respectively. The cancelled FLL to LAX in December. They cancelled ORD to PDX and SRQ in November and December.
Correction from last week’s email: American is only exiting ORD to Dublin, Ireland (DUB) and PHL to Athens, Greece (ATH) until June 4.
ANA cancelled JFK to Tokyo-Narita, Japan (NRT) from October through March.
Avianca removed MIA to Bucaramanga, Colombia (BGA), Pereira, Colombia (PEI) and Santa Marta, Colombia (SMR) from all future schedules. They cancelled SJU to Medellin, Colombia (MDE) from January through March and cancelled IAD to San Jose, Costa Rica (SJO) and MIA to Cali, Colombia (CLO) in March.
Delta reduced capacity by 2% week over week in November and December. They upgauged 16 routes from MSP and SLC on Skywest from CRJs to CR7 and CR9s from October onward. CNY to SLC was cancelled from December through March 8.
Frontier extended their schedule until February 13.
Japan Airlines cancelled KOA to NRT from October through November.
Porter announced and filed seven new routes to Florida: YOW and YYZ to FLL and MCO; and YYZ to MIA, RSW and TPA starting in November and December.
Qatar cancelled PHL to Doha, Qatar (DOH) from November through July 16. It has been stated by The Points Guy that this route will be shifting to JFK.
Silver removed FLL to Governor’s Harbour, Bahamas (GHB) from future schedules. They will resume SJU to Antigua (ANU) in November and filed new service from SJU to La Romana, Dominican Republic (LRM) in November.
Southwest reduced OGG capacity on the following routes: PHX and SMF from September 5 through early November; and SJC from October 5 through November 4.
United cancelled six China routes from October through January 8: Beijing (PEK) to EWR, IAD and ORD; Shanghai (PVG) to EWR, LAX and ORD. SFO to Chengdu (CTU) was also cancelled from October through March and SFO to PEK was cancelled October through November 8. Capacity to China is down 77% and 73% week over week in November and December respectively.
Domestic United States Capacity By Carrier
TSA Update
August 1-27 is at 102.3% of 2019 levels and 111.1% of 2022 levels
Read the full Weekly, Airline Schedule Update Here!